The Business End
The deep rounds
Comprehensive previews for the deep knockout ties, with the conditional title math: for each side, the model's title odds now versus if they win tonight — and the run that ends for whoever loses. Advance odds from the per-match model; title odds from the 8,000-run Monte Carlo.
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The business end is settled — 🇪🇸 Spain won it all.
Every deep knockout tie was previewed here before kickoff, with the conditional title math on the line. The full reckoning of those numbers lives on the Track Record page; the road to the trophy is on the bracket.